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2013 Tony Award predictions

Handicapping Broadway’s highest honor? Here are 2013 Tony Award picks you can bet on.

1/26
Photograph: Carol Rosegg

Time Out New York's 2013 Tony Award predictions

Best Play

Lock Vanya and Sonia and Masha and Spike
Dark horseLucky Guy
Dark horseThe Assembled Parties
Honor to be nominatedThe Testament of Mary

2/26
Photograph: Joan Marcus

Time Out New York's 2013 Tony Award predictions

Best Musical

Tight race Matilda
Tight raceKinky Boots
Honor to be nominatedA Christmas Story, The Musical
Honor to be nominatedBring It On: The Musical

3/26
Photograph: Michael Brosilow

Time Out New York's 2013 Tony Award predictions

Best Revival of a Play

Tight race Who’s Afraid of Virginia Woolf?
Tight raceThe Trip to Bountiful
Tight raceGolden Boy
Honor to be nominatedOrphans

4/26
Photograph: Joan Marcus

Time Out New York's 2013 Tony Award predictions

Best Revival of a Musical

Lock Pippin
Dark horseCinderella
Tight raceThe Mystery of Edwin Drood
Honor to be nominatedAnnie

5/26
Photograph: ©2013 Joan Marcus

Time Out New York's 2013 Tony Award predictions

Best Performance by a Leading Actress in a Play

Tight race Cicely Tyson, The Trip to Bountiful
Tight race Kristine Nielsen, Vanya and Sonia and Masha and Spike
Dark horse Laurie Metcalf, The Other Place
Dark horse Holland Taylor, Ann
Honor to be nominated Amy Morton, Who’s Afraid of Virginia Woolf?

6/26
Photograph: Joan Marcus

Time Out New York's 2013 Tony Award predictions

Best Performance by a Leading Actor in a Play

Lock Tom Hanks, Lucky Guy
Dark horse Nathan Lane, The Nance
Dark horse Tracy Letts, Who’s Afraid of Virginia Woolf?
Dark horse David Hyde Pierce, Vanya and Sonia and Masha and Spike
Honor to be nominated Tom Sturridge, Orphans

7/26
Photograph: Michael J. Lutch

Time Out New York's 2013 Tony Award predictions

Best Performance by a Leading Actress in a Musical

Tight race Patina Miller, Pippin
Tight race Laura Osnes, Cinderella
Honor to be nominated Carolee Carmello, Scandalous
Honor to be nominated Stephanie J. Block, The Mystery of Edwin Drood
Honor to be nominated Valisia LeKae, Motown— The Musical

8/26
Photograph: Matthew Murphy

Time Out New York's 2013 Tony Award predictions

Best Performance by a Leading Actor in a Musical

Tight race Billy Porter, Kinky Boots
Tight race Bertie Carvel, Matilda
Honor to be nominated Santino Fontana, Cinderella
Honor to be nominated Rob McClure, Chaplin
Honor to be nominated Stark Sands, Kinky Boots

9/26
Photograph: Joan Marcus

Time Out New York's 2013 Tony Award predictions

Best Performance by a Featured Actress in a Play

Tight race Judith Light, The Assembled Parties
Tight race Condola Rashad, The Trip to Bountiful
Dark horse Shalita Grant, Vanya and Sonia and Masha and Spike
Honor to be nominated Judith Ivey, The Heiress
Honor to be nominated Carrie Coon, Who’s Afraid of Virginia Woolf?

10/26
Photograph: Joan Marcus

Time Out New York's 2013 Tony Award predictions

Best Performance by a Featured Actor in a Play

Tight race Richard Kind, The Big Knife
Tight race Tony Shalhoub, Golden Boy
Tight race Courtney B. Vance, Lucky Guy
Tight race Danny Burstein, Golden Boy
Tight race Billy Magnussen, Vanya and Sonia and Masha and Spike

11/26
Photograph: Joan Marcus

Time Out New York's 2013 Tony Award predictions

Best Performance by a Featured Actress in a Musical

Lock Andrea Martin, Pippin
Dark horse Annaleigh Ashford, Kinky Boots
Honor to be nominated Lauren Ward, Matilda
Honor to be nominated Keala Settle, Hands on a Hardbody
Honor to be nominated Victoria Clark, Cinderella

12/26
Photograph: Joan Marcus

Time Out New York's 2013 Tony Award predictions

Best Performance by a Featured Actor in a Musical

Tight race Terrence Mann, Pippin
Tight race Gabriel Ebert, Matilda
Honor to be nominated Will Chase, The Mystery of Edwin Drood
Honor to be nominated Keith Carradine, Hands on a Hardbody
Honor to be nominated Charl Brown, Motown— The Musical

13/26
Photograph: Joan Marcus

Time Out New York's 2013 Tony Award predictions

Best Book of a Musical

Tight race Dennis Kelly, Matilda
Tight race Harvey Fierstein, Kinky Boots
Dark horse Douglas Carter Beane, Cinderella
Honor to be nominated Joseph Robinette, A Christmas Story

14/26
Photograph: Matthew Murphy

Time Out New York's 2013 Tony Award predictions

Best Score

Tight race Cyndi Lauper, Kinky Boots
Tight race Tim Minchin, Matilda
Honor to be nominated Benj Pasek and Justin Paul, A Christmas Story, The Musical
Honor to be nominated Trey Anastasio and Amanda Green, Hands on a Hardbody

15/26
Photograph: Joan Marcus

Time Out New York's 2013 Tony Award predictions

Best Direction of a Play

Tight race George C. Wolfe, Lucky Guy
Tight race Nicholas Martin, Vanya and Sonia and Masha and Spike
Dark horse Bartlett Sher, Golden Boy
Dark horse Pam MacKinnon, Who’s Afraid of Virginia Woolf?

16/26
Photograph: Kevin H. Lin

Time Out New York's 2013 Tony Award predictions

Best Direction of a Musical

Tight race Diane Paulus, Pippin
Tight race Matthew Warchus, Matilda
Dark horse Jerry Mitchell, Kinky Boots
Honor to be nominated Scott Ellis, The Mystery of Edwin Drood

17/26

Time Out New York's 2013 Tony Award predictions

Best Choreography

Tight race Chet Walker, Pippin
Tight race Peter Darling, Matilda
Honor to be nominated Andy Blankenbuehler, Bring It On: The Musical
Honor to be nominated Jerry Mitchell, Kinky Boots

18/26
Photograph: Joan Marcus

Time Out New York's 2013 Tony Award predictions

Best Scenic Design of a Play

Tight race John Lee Beatty, The Nance
Tight race Santo Loquasto, The Assembled Parties
Dark horse David Rockwell, Lucky Guy
Dark horse Michael Yeargan, Golden Boy

19/26
Photograph: Joan Marcus

Time Out New York's 2013 Tony Award predictions

Best Scenic Design of a Musical

Lock Rob Howell, Matilda
Dark horse Scott Pask, Pippin
Dark horse David Rockwell, Kinky Boots
Honor to be nominated Anna Louizos, The Mystery of Edwin Drood

20/26
Photograph: Joan Marcus

Time Out New York's 2013 Tony Award predictions

Best Costume Design of a Play

Tight race Ann Roth, The Nance
Tight race Catherine Zuber, Golden Boy
Dark horse Albert Wolsky, The Heiress
Honor to be nominated Soutra Gilmour, Cyrano de Bergerac

21/26
Photograph: Carol Rosegg

Time Out New York's 2013 Tony Award predictions

Best Costume Design of a Musical

Lock William Ivey Long, Cinderella
Dark horse Dominique Lemieux, Pippin
Dark horse Rob Howell, Matilda
Dark horse Gregg Barnes, Kinky Boots

22/26
Photograph: Joan Marcus

Time Out New York's 2013 Tony Award predictions

Best Lighting Design of a Play

Tight race Jules Fisher and Peggy Eisenhauer, Lucky Guy
Tight race Donald Holder, Golden Boy
Dark horse Japhy Wiedeman, The Nance
Honor to be nominated Jennifer Tipton, The Testament of Mary

23/26
Photograph: Joan Marcus

Time Out New York's 2013 Tony Award predictions

Best Lighting Design of a Musical

Tight race Hugh Vanstone, Matilda
Tight race Kenneth Posner, Pippin
Tight race Kenneth Posner, Cinderella
Honor to be nominated Kenneth Posner, Kinky Boots

24/26
Photograph: Joan Marcus

Time Out New York's 2013 Tony Award predictions

Best Sound Design of a Play

Tight race John Gromada, The Trip to Bountiful
Tight race Leon Rothenberg, The Nance
Tight race Peter John Still and Marc Salzberg, Golden Boy
Dark horse Mel Mercier, The Testament of Mary

25/26
Photograph: Joan Marcus

Time Out New York's 2013 Tony Award predictions

Best Sound Design of a Musical

Tight race Jonathan Deans and Garth Helm, Pippin
Tight race Peter Hylenski, Motown—The Musical
Dark horse John Shivers, Kinky Boots
Dark horse Nevin Steinberg, Cinderella

26/26

Time Out New York's 2013 Tony Award predictions

Best Orchestrations

Tight race Stephen Oremus, Kinky Boots
Tight race Ethan Popp and Bryan Crook, Motown—The Musical
Dark horse Chris Nightingale, Matilda
Dark horse Danny Troob, Cinderella

After five weeks of buildup, the Tony Awards will be awarded on Sunday—and theater fans should brace themselves for a more suspenseful broadcast than usual. Sure, a few of the winners are gimmes (start practicing your speech now, Andrea Martin), but most of the races are nail-biters. Will Best Musical go to the thorny but cute English import (Matilda) or the precision-tooled American crowd-pleaser (Kinky Boots)? Can the still-running The Trip to Bountiful wrest Best Revival from its already-closed rivals? And who will nose ahead in the tightly matched field for Best Featured Actor in a Play? We’ve gazed into our cloudy crystal ball and we've ranked the nominees below, from most to least likely to win. (How do they compare to your own votes in our readers' poll?) To show which races are especially competitive, we’ve assigned them symbols accordingly.

Lock Lock    Tight race Tight race    Dark horse Dark horse    Honor to be nominated Honor to be nominated

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Comments

2 comments
Bob Gutowski
Bob Gutowski

Paulus also shouldn't win because she clearly didn't know how to focus our attention on what was important to be watching at any given moment. This show was a bit too much like a three-ring circus. In the original "Manson Trio," red lights illuminated brief, slow-motion acts of violence we were meant to notice for a few seconds as the dance went on. In the current version, god knows what all is going on all over the stage during the number. Bye, ironic comment!

Garrett Canna
Garrett Canna

Matthew Warchus deserves to win over Diane Paulus, and Darling deserves to win over Chet Walker (Walker didn't choreograph any of the acrobatics, which are the show's main draw).