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Japan cherry blossom forecast 2026: Osaka and Kyoto bloom dates

Plan your spring trip with the official 2026 sakura forecast, as Kansai is expected to see early flowering and full bloom

Lim Chee Wah
Written by
Lim Chee Wah
Contributing Editor, Time Out Osaka
Osaka Castle Park cherry blossoms
Photo: Sean Pavone/Dreamstime | Osaka Castle Park
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Some good news to get you through the winter blues. The trusty Japan Meteorological Corporation (JMC) has released its first official cherry blossom forecast for 2026. According to the report, sakura season will arrive slightly earlier than usual next year in Osaka and Kyoto.

Every year, JMC issues nationwide predictions for both the initial flowering and full bloom dates of somei yoshino, Japan’s most iconic and prevalent cherry blossom species. Through its dedicated website, you can check the estimated bloom dates for around 1,000 cherry blossom destinations across the country, from Hokkaido in the north to Kagoshima in the south.

Japan 2026 cherry blossom forecast
Photo: Japan Meteorological Corporation

So what does the forecast reveal for the Kansai region? In both Osaka and Kyoto, cherry blossoms are predicted to begin flowering on March 24, with trees reaching full bloom around March 31. That’s roughly two to four days earlier than average.

Elsewhere in Kansai, the outlook is similar. In Kobe, Nara and Wakayama, flowering is expected to start around March 26. Full bloom, known as mankai, is forecast for April 2 in Nara and Wakayama, with Kobe following one day later on April 3.

As always, this is just the first forecast. Actual blooming dates may change depending on weather patterns. We’ll keep you informed when JMC releases its updated forecast on January 8.

In the meantime, enjoy winter by checking out the many festive illuminations currently taking place around Osaka, and start planning your New Year’s Eve with our guide to the city’s best countdown events and parties.

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