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The Mercury Prize 2014: our shortlist predictions

Here are the 12 albums that we think the panel will pick for this year's prize

 (© Simon Procter)
© Simon Procter'Trouble in Paradise' – La Roux ‘Against the odds, ‘Trouble in Paradise’ is a total triumph. La Roux’s new sound, with its Chic-like guitar licks and balmy synth parts straight off early MTV, is instantly ingratiating and suits them – sorry, her – more than fans could have dared hope… And far from feeling forced and fussed over, these songs sound pretty effortless. The likes of ‘Tropical Chancer’, ‘Sexotheque’ and ‘Kiss and Not Tell’ are brilliant pop tunes – albeit brilliant pop tunes with lyrics about strange and slightly seedy relationships.’       Read our full review of 'Trouble in Paradise'  |  Buy this album on Amazon  |  Buy this album on iTunesRead our interview with La Roux
'Everyday Robots' – Damon Albarn ‘In truth, this really isn’t the soul-baring sonic confessional it was hyped as. Many expected deep revelations from the Blur man’s first solo record, only to hear a few opaque references to drug use, an allusion to a ‘cheating heart’ and a Macca-esque song about a baby elephant. What we did get, however, were melodies – big beautiful, elegant and affecting melodies – that sear the cerebellum after a few listens and gently remind us of Albarn’s status as one of Britain’s great songwriters. Soft and gentle in tenor, its lack of immediacy may put off those who like their Albarn with a bit more ‘oi!’. But between the swooping choruses of ‘Photographs’ and the transformation that takes place in ‘You and Me’, you have an album as golden as its writer’s front tooth. To use the parlance of Danny Dyer: this is definitely a grower, not a shower.’   Read interview with Damon Albarn  |  Buy this album on Amazon  |  Buy this album on iTunes
'Luminous' – The Horrors ‘If there’s one thing The Horrors have always been good at, it’s surprising people. With their early singles and first album they did it by playing breakneck garage-punk and dousing audiences in black paint and feathers. With their second LP, they unpredictably turned into respectable sonic innovators – and with their third, they stormed the album chart and even the Radio 1 playlist. Now it’s time for album four, and they’ve done it again. ‘Luminous’ is one of the biggest, tightest, most engrossing records we’ve heard from a British band in years.’   Read our full review of 'Luminous'  |  Buy this album on Amazon  |  Buy this album on iTunesRead our interview with The Horrors
'Drone Logic' – Daniel Avery ‘Daniel Avery is a young DJ and producer living in London. He makes dance music – very good dance music. So far, so straightforward – but then it’s worth stating the obvious when it comes to Avery. In a scene in which the rules for electronic music are constantly being redefined, what sets him apart is just how loyally he sticks to the templates laid down by his predecessors. This is a debut album of pure four-to-the-floor virtuosity: one that pays its respects to everyone from Cajmere to The Chemical Brothers.’     Read our full review of 'Drone Logic'  |  Buy this album on Amazon  |  Buy this album on iTunes
 (© James Medina)
© James Medina'LP1' – FKA Twigs ‘A collection of forward-thinking electro-R&B tracks packed with unexpected sonic details: an out-of-tune organ riff on ‘Lights On’; a beat that sounds like a child biting into a ripe apple on ‘Hours’. The lovely melodies on ‘Give Up’, ‘Number’ and ‘Pendulum’ have echoes of ’90s R&B, but this album is bewitching because Twigs mixes the pretty with the gritty.’   Read our full review of 'LP1'  |  Buy this album on Amazon  |  Buy this album on iTunes
 (© Steve Gullick)
© Steve Gullick'In Each and Every One' – Polar Bear ‘The long-awaited follow-up to Polar Bear’s excellent 2010 album ‘Peepers’ is an expansive record that covers the whole dynamic spectrum from delicate ambience to high-octane fuzz. For the first time, drummer Seb Rochford has produced and mixed the entire album, emphasising rhythmic drive and space with pushing bass grooves, enthralling horn lines and propelling electronics… A formidable addition to an already impressive legacy.’       Read our full review 'In Each and Every One'  |  Buy this album on Amazon  |  Buy this album on iTunes
 (© Krzysztof A. Edelman)
© Krzysztof A. Edelman'Ibibio Sound Machine' – Ibibio Sound Machine ‘Dare we big up London even more than in an average week here at Time Out, but it’s hard to imagine the eight diverse members of this group coalescing anywhere else. While they stem from Ghana, Brazil, France, England and Australia, south-east Nigeria is the focus for this outstanding debut. Sung mostly in the regional dialect of Ibibio, this rollicking record combines the brassy flair of Afrofunk, the sass of Grace Jones and the machine groove of deep house. Is it world music, or the future sound of London? Who cares. As their lead single implores, ‘Let’s Dance’.’     What's the deal with Ibibio Sound Machine?  |  Buy this album on Amazon  |  Buy this album on iTunes
 (© Rebecca Miller)
© Rebecca Miller'Total Strife Forever' – East India Youth ‘Songs like ‘Looking For Someone’ and ‘Heaven, How Long’ match folksily sweet choruses with the buzzy, krautrock-influenced churn of Fuck Buttons, while ‘Dripping Down’ is a miserablist carnival – equal parts upbeat percussion and emotional pain… ‘Total Strife Forever’ is dark and kind of depressing. It features long stretches of ambient noise, and some aggressively pounding beats. But it also has moments of acute sincerity to melt anyone’s wintry heart.’       Read our full review of 'Total Strife Forever'  |  Buy this album on Amazon  |  Buy this album on iTunes
 (© Dan Wilton (Everybody))
© Dan Wilton (Everybody)'Jungle' – Jungle ‘The elevator pitch is that Jungle are an amalgam of every great white funk band. A backhanded compliment? Not at all – imagine Happy Mondays’ baggy stomp, the avant bits of Talking Heads, Steely Dan’s studio perfectionism and the Bee Gees’ falsetto, and you’re very warm indeed. From the space fanfare of summer anthem ‘Busy Earnin’ to the mesmerising soul of ‘Lucky I Got What I Want’, Jungle have done what Disclosure did so well last year – make electronic music with human heart, marry underground cool with main-stage appeal, and do it with vision and conviction.’ Read our full review of 'Jungle'  |  Buy this album on Amazon  |  Buy this album on iTunes
'In the Lonely Hour' – Sam Smith ‘This soulful 22-year-old first caught our ears singing on trendy pop-dance hits by Disclosure (‘Latch’) and Naughty Boy (‘La La La’), but on his debut album he’s a firmly middle-of-the-road proposition. To call Cambridgeshire-born Smith a male hybrid of Adele and Emeli Sandé would be reductive, but not entirely misleading. The frantic drums of recent Number One hit ‘Money on My Mind’ are deceptive; elsewhere Smith trades in the sort of ballad where gently plucked acoustic guitars dovetail with soaring strings, and well-crafted melodies come as standard.’ Read our full review of 'In The Lonely hour'  |  Buy this album on Amazon  |  Buy this album on iTunes
 (© Rosanna Webster)
© Rosanna Webster'So Long, See You Tomorrow' – Bombay Bicycle Club ‘‘So Long, See You Tomorrow’ is an album of expanded horizons, which defies straight-up indie rock. ‘Feel’ loops samples from ’50s Bollywood films underneath Jack Steadman’s trademark shivering vocals, and there’s a grand piano in ‘Eyes Off You’ and a touch of R&B slow jam on ‘Home By Now’. The LP’s title track finishes with a shower of Tetris-like acid house blips that are a long way from the guitar-led shuffle of ‘A Different Kind of Fix’.’         Read our full review of 'So Long, See You Tomorrow'  |  Buy this album on Amazon  |  Buy this album on iTunes  
 (© Katherine Leedale)
© Katherine Leedale'Everybody Down' – Kate Tempest ‘She may be a prodigious polymath (poet, playwright, writer, whatever), but the 27-year-old spoken word sensation returned to her rap roots in style on her debut for Ninja Tune-affiliate Big Dada. Full-fat beats and dirty guitar textures make the perfect sound bed for her stinging tales of the city and third-person narratives stuffed with strivers, lovers and fighters.’           Read our interview with Kate Tempest  |  Buy this album on Amazon  |  Buy this album on iTunes  
By Time Out London Music team |

Think we've missed something? Let us know your Mercury predictions in the comments box below or tweet us at @TimeOutMusic.
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