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If you were dreaming of an early spring, brace yourself, Montreal.
Despite the groundhog’s predictions, cold is expected to continue dominating the eastern part of the continent through mid-March.
According to a report by MeteoMedia, the late-winter forecast is in, and cold is expected to prevail over the coming weeks.
Will Montreal have an early spring?
While the western part of North America is likely to see milder temperatures, the east, including southern Quebec, will be less forgiving overall.
The good news? Temperatures should become slightly more forgiving toward the second half of February, which means a relaxation of the more intense cold that we’ve experienced.
In addition, there should be less rain in Montreal through the end of winter, due to the persisting cold (typically the city receives around 35 mm of rain from early February to mid-March).
Snowfall amounts should be close to normal in the Greater Montreal area (about 70 cm expected by mid-March).
Most of the precipitation expected in the city will come from systems originating in Western Canada (AKA the famous “clippers”).
According to the 2026 Canadian edition of The Old Farmer’s Almanac, April and May are expected to be marked by below-average temperatures and above-average precipitation in Quebec.
Read more: Expect prolonged deep freezes this winter if you live in Quebec, according to the Farmers’ Almanac
In the southern part of the province, spring is forecast to be especially cooler and wetter than usual.
Thanks to particularly above-average precipitation, this very wet weather could contribute to a muddy spring and slower snowmelt in some areas.
The almanac notes that while April will bring a mix of snow and rain, while May will bring scattered thunderstorms.
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