Cherry blossoms along Meguro River
Photo: Tawatchai Prakobkit/DreamstimeCherry blossoms along the Meguro River

The official Japan cherry blossom forecast for 2024 is out now – updated February 26

The latest blooming dates for Tokyo, Osaka, Kyoto and Sapporo suggest that sakura season is just three-plus weeks away

Emma Steen
Written by
Emma Steen

Tokyo has seen a lot of cold and rainy weather over the last couple of days, so we’re looking at the spring cherry blossom predictions to cheer ourselves up. The Japan Meteorological Corporation recently released its fifth update for the 2024 sakura forecast, giving us a better idea of when to schedule this year’s hanami (blossom viewing) outings. The latest report predicts that in most destinations across Japan, cherry blossoms will bloom generally around the same time as the past few years, although some areas may see blossoms a few days early.

This past autumn's warmer-than-average temperatures caused a delay in the crucial cold period for Japan's cherry blossom trees, pushing bud development back by about a week. However, this delay is anticipated to be offset by the continuation of warmer temperatures from February to March, which will expedite the growth stage. 

Sakura forecast 2024
Photo: Japan Meteorological Corporation

For Tokyo, the cherry blossoms are predicted to start flowering on March 21 (that’s only a few weeks away!), reaching full bloom by March 28.

Randen Tram
Photo: Sanga Park/DreamstimeRanden Tram in Kyoto during cherry blossom season

In Kyoto, the first blossoms are expected on March 22, four days sooner than usual, with peak bloom hitting around March 31.

Osaka will likely see its first flowers around March 24, with full bloom predicted for April 1.

The northernmost prefecture of Hokkaido will be the last to see cherry blossoms. For Sapporo, the start of the sakura season will begin on April 30, with full bloom predicted to hit around May 3.

The next update from the JMC is scheduled for February 29, when we should be getting a clearer picture of what spring will bring. Meanwhile, you can enjoy a few more snowy getaways this winter.

This article was originally published on January 11 and updated on February 26 2024. 

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