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Here’s the official 2024 autumn leaves forecast for Japan

The best times to visit Tokyo, Osaka, Kyoto, Sapporo and more for brilliant red and yellow autumn foliage

Lim Chee Wah
Written by
Lim Chee Wah
Editor-in-Chief, Time Out Tokyo
Lake Kawaguchiko, Yamanashi
Photo: Wiradej Thongsuwan/Dreamstime
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Late last month, the Japan Meteorological Agency released a weather forecast stating that temperatures in Japan will still run high until October. This means we could also be looking at a delayed autumn. And according to the first autumn leaves forecast just released by the Japan Meteorological Corporation, this looks to be the case. 

With higher than normal temperatures, the autumn leaves are predicted to arrive a few days to more than a week later than usual. However, it’s important to note that this could very well change depending on weather conditions. This is just the first forecast. We can expect the next update in early October.

Japan autumn leaves forecast 2024
Photo: Japan Meteorological CorporationJapan autumn leaves forecast 2024: red momiji leaves

Red momiji leaves forecast

The leaves in Hokkaido will be the earliest to turn, with Sapporo projected to see red momiji at their most vibrant around November 8. That’s about 11 days later than usual. The best time to see red leaves in Nagano is around November 23 and Kanazawa around November 30.

You can expect to see momiji turn full red in Tokyo sometime around December 1, Osaka December 4 and Kyoto December 12. Further south in Kyushu, the momiji leaves are predicted to turn red only around December 10 in Fukuoka and December 14 in Kagoshima.

Japan autumn leaves forecast 2024
Photo: Japan Meteorological CorporationJapan autumn leaves forecast 2024: yellow ginkgo leaves

Yellow ginkgo leaves forecast

For yellow ginkgo trees, you might want to be in Sapporo around November 6, Kanazawa around November 12 and Nagano around November 15.

In Tokyo and Osaka, the ginkgo trees are expected to turn sunny yellow around the same time: Osaka around November 25 and Tokyo a day later (November 26). For now, it looks like Kyoto, Fukuoka and Kagoshima will be seeing yellow on November 28.

So now’s a good time to start planning your autumn trip to Japan, especially since Tokyo, Osaka and Kyoto are now trending as some of the world's most desired autumn destinations. If you need some inspiration, check out our list of Japan’s most beautiful autumn destinations.

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