Cherry blossoms, sakura, Meguro River
Photo: Piti Sirisriro/DreamstimeAn undated stock photo of cherry blossoms along the Meguro River

The 2023 Japan cherry blossom forecast is here – updated March 9

The latest Japan sakura forecast predicts an earlier than usual bloom in Tokyo, Osaka and Kyoto this year

Emma Steen
Written by
Emma Steen

[Update, March 15] The 2023 cherry blossom season has officially begun in Tokyo. Get the deets here.


You wouldn’t be mistaken in thinking this winter is slightly warmer than usual. The pleasant climate we’ve experienced lately indicates that cherry blossom season will arrive sooner than expected this year. Rumour has it that Tokyo will start seeing cherry blossoms sometime this week, with the flowers set to bloom roughly nine days earlier than usual. Here’s a closer look at the latest forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Corporation, with predicted dates for sakura in Tokyo as well as other parts of Japan.

sakura 2023
Photo: Japan Meteorological Corporation

Tokyo will be one of the first cities to see cherry blossoms, where flowers are expected to bloom around March 15 and peak on March 22. Meanwhile, Kyoto's and Osaka's blossoms are predicted to begin flowering on March 22 and 23, respectively. Kyoto is expected to hit peak blooming time on March 30, while Osaka will flourish on March 31. 

As usual, the sakura season in Japan's northernmost prefecture of Hokkaido is expected to overlap with the Golden Week holidays in early May. In Sapporo, the flowers are predicted to bloom on April 26 and peak on April 30. 

The forecasts are subject to change as we draw closer to spring, but we'll keep you updated as more information is released. In the meantime, start planning your trip with our guides to Tokyo's top sakura spots and Japan's three greatest cherry blossom trees.

This article was published on January 11 and updated on March 13.

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